Abstract
Background: Clinical predictors of future ischemic events in patients with acute coronary syndrome (ACS) are also risk factors for bleeding, with patients often at high-risk of both outcomes. We aimed to define the clinical outcomes and provision of guideline-recommended care in ACS management for different combinations of ischemic and bleeding risk defined using a combined GRACE and CRUSADE score.
Methods: A retrospective observational analysis of a national ACS database was performed for patients with ACS admitted to three tertiary centres from January 2010 to March 2016. Patients were stratified into 9 groups based on possible CRUSADE-GRACE risk combinations. Multiple logistic regression was used to estimate adjusted odds ratios (ORs [95% CI]) for outcomes (in-hospital net adverse cardiac events (NACE), in-hospital all-cause mortality, 30-day mortality and treatment strategy).
Results: A total of 17,701 patients were included in the analysis. We observed a graded risk of mortality and adverse events in the high-risk GRACE strata (Groups 3, 6 and 9). Almost a third of patients with ACS were at a ‘dual high-risk’ (Group 9, 32%) and were independently associated with higher in-hospital NACE (composite of cardiac mortality, all-cause bleeding and re-infarction): aOR 6.33 [3.55, 11.29], all-cause mortality: aOR 14.17 [5.27, 38.1], allcause bleeding: aOR 4.82 [1.96, 11.86], and 30-day mortality: aOR 10.79 [5.33, 21.81]. This group was also the least likely to be offered coronary angiography (aOR 0.24 [0.20, 0.29]) and dual anti-platelet therapy (aOR 0.26 [0.20, 0.34]).
Conclusions: One in five patients presenting with an ACS are high ischemic and high bleeding risk, and these patients are more likely to experience poor clinical outcomes and reduced odds of receiving guideline-recommended therapy.
Methods: A retrospective observational analysis of a national ACS database was performed for patients with ACS admitted to three tertiary centres from January 2010 to March 2016. Patients were stratified into 9 groups based on possible CRUSADE-GRACE risk combinations. Multiple logistic regression was used to estimate adjusted odds ratios (ORs [95% CI]) for outcomes (in-hospital net adverse cardiac events (NACE), in-hospital all-cause mortality, 30-day mortality and treatment strategy).
Results: A total of 17,701 patients were included in the analysis. We observed a graded risk of mortality and adverse events in the high-risk GRACE strata (Groups 3, 6 and 9). Almost a third of patients with ACS were at a ‘dual high-risk’ (Group 9, 32%) and were independently associated with higher in-hospital NACE (composite of cardiac mortality, all-cause bleeding and re-infarction): aOR 6.33 [3.55, 11.29], all-cause mortality: aOR 14.17 [5.27, 38.1], allcause bleeding: aOR 4.82 [1.96, 11.86], and 30-day mortality: aOR 10.79 [5.33, 21.81]. This group was also the least likely to be offered coronary angiography (aOR 0.24 [0.20, 0.29]) and dual anti-platelet therapy (aOR 0.26 [0.20, 0.34]).
Conclusions: One in five patients presenting with an ACS are high ischemic and high bleeding risk, and these patients are more likely to experience poor clinical outcomes and reduced odds of receiving guideline-recommended therapy.
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Pages (from-to) | 7-14 |
| Number of pages | 8 |
| Journal | International Journal of Cardiology |
| Volume | 290 |
| Early online date | 21 May 2019 |
| DOIs | |
| Publication status | Published - 1 Sept 2019 |
Bibliographical note
MOM is funded by a National Institute of Health Research (NIHR) Academic ClinicalFellowship grant. The views expressed in this article are those of the authors and not necessarily those of the NHS, the NIHR, or the Department of Health and Social Care.
Keywords
- GRACE
- CRUSADE
- risk scores
- outcomes
- treatment