Abstract
Background: Community prescribing of antibiotics has decreased substantially in the UK in recent years. We examine the association between pneumonia mortality and recent changes in community-based antibiotic prescribing for lower respiratory tract infections (LRTI).
Methods: Retrospective analysis of aggregated data for pneumonia mortality, influenza incidence, and antibiotic prescribing for LRTI in England and Wales during 12-week winter periods between 1993/94 and 1999/2000.
Results: Winter antibiotic prescribing for LRTI showed a 30.0% decline since 1995/96. Over the same period, there was a 50.6% increase in winter excess pneumonia mortality adjusted for influenza incidence. Negative binomial regression analysis showed that the incidence of influenza alone had a significant association with winter pneumonia mortality (P<0.001). The analysis also showed the reduction in antibiotic prescribing had a small but significant association with mortality (P<0.001), when simultaneously modelling for influenza incidence.
Original language | English |
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Pages (from-to) | 17-24 |
Number of pages | 8 |
Journal | Respiratory Medicine |
Volume | 98 |
Issue number | 1 |
DOIs | |
Publication status | Published - 1 Jan 2004 |
Keywords
- antibiotic prescribing
- lower respiratory tract infection
- community-acquired pneumonia mortality
- retrospective analysis
- England and Wales
- influenza epidemics
- primary-care
- escherichia-coli
- resistance
- children
- impact
- rates