Contribution of the land sector to a 1.5 °C world

Stephanie Roe* (Corresponding Author), Charlotte Streck, Michael Obersteiner, Stefan Frank, Bronson Griscom, Laurent Drouet, Oliver Fricko, Mykola Gusti, Nancy Harris, Tomoko Hasegawa, Zeke Hausfather, Petr Havlík, Jo House, Gert-Jan Nabuurs, Alexander Popp, María José Sanz Sánchez, Jonathan Sanderman, Pete Smith, Elke Stehfest, Deborah Lawrence

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

5 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

The Paris Agreement introduced an ambitious goal to limit warming to 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels. Here, we combine modelling and a meta-analysis of mitigation strategies to develop a land sector roadmap of priority measures and regions that can help to achieve the 1.5°C temperature goal. Transforming the land sector (agriculture, forestry, wetlands, bioenergy) towards more sustainable practices could contribute ~30% (15 GtCO2e/yr) of the global mitigation needed in 2050 to deliver on the 1.5°C target, however it will require substantially more ambitious effort than the 2˚C target. Addressing risks, barriers and incentives are necessary to scale up mitigation while maximizing sustainable development, food security, and environmental co-benefits.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)817-828
Number of pages12
JournalNature Climate Change
Volume9
Early online date21 Oct 2019
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Nov 2019

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Keywords

  • agroecology
  • climate and earth system modelling
  • climate-change mitigation
  • forestry
  • projection and prediction
  • GREENHOUSE-GAS EMISSIONS
  • MANAGEMENT
  • AGRICULTURE
  • SOIL CARBON
  • SEQUESTRATION
  • CLIMATE-CHANGE MITIGATION
  • NEGATIVE EMISSIONS
  • TROPICAL FORESTS
  • BIOMASS
  • BIOCHAR

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Environmental Science (miscellaneous)
  • Social Sciences (miscellaneous)

Cite this

Roe, S., Streck, C., Obersteiner, M., Frank, S., Griscom, B., Drouet, L., ... Lawrence, D. (2019). Contribution of the land sector to a 1.5 °C world. Nature Climate Change, 9, 817-828. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-019-0591-9