Delayed impact of natural climate solutions

Zhangcai  Qin; Bronson Griscom; Yao Huang; Wenping  Yuan; Xiuzhi Chen; Wenjie  Dong; Tingting Li; Jonathan  Sanderman; Pete Smith; Fan Wang; Song  Yang

doi:10.1111/gcb.15413

Delayed impact of natural climate solutions

Zhangcai Qin^* (Corresponding Author), Bronson Griscom, Yao Huang, Wenping Yuan, Xiuzhi Chen, Wenjie Dong, Tingting Li, Jonathan Sanderman, Pete Smith, Fan Wang, Song Yang

^*Corresponding author for this work

Aberdeen Centre For Environmental Sustainability

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

13 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

To limit global temperature rise, scientists have proposed significant potentials for climate change mitigation from protecting and managing natural systems (Griscom et al., 2017; Paustian et al., 2016; Roe et al., 2019; Smith et al., 2019). However, we show that the speed at which nature's power is unleashed is as important as the mitigation potential. Depending on the time taken for technology deployment and natural carbon gain, actual mitigation can be dramatically delayed, and total mitigation by 2030 or 2050 can be more than halved compared to the estimated potential. Delayed or lack of action on implementation would push back the timeline to reduce greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, largely undermining the Paris goals. Launching actions now and learning from past experience can help deliver climate mitigation and sustainable development goals.

Original language	English
Pages (from-to)	215-217
Number of pages	3
Journal	Global Change Biology
Volume	27
Issue number	2
Early online date	8 Nov 2020
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.15413
Publication status	Published - 1 Jan 2021

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This is the peer reviewed version of the following article: Qin, Z., Griscom, B., Huang, Y., Yuan, W., Chen, X., Dong, W., Li, T., Sanderman, J., Smith, P., Wang, F. and Yang, S. (2021), Delayed impact of natural climate solutions. Glob. Change Biol., 27: 215-217, which has been published in final form at https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.15413. This article may be used for non-commercial purposes in accordance with Wiley Terms and Conditions for Use of Self-Archived Versions
Accepted author manuscript, 258 KBLicence: Unspecified

Cite this

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title = "Delayed impact of natural climate solutions",

abstract = "To limit global temperature rise, scientists have proposed significant potentials for climate change mitigation from protecting and managing natural systems (Griscom et al., 2017; Paustian et al., 2016; Roe et al., 2019; Smith et al., 2019). However, we show that the speed at which nature's power is unleashed is as important as the mitigation potential. Depending on the time taken for technology deployment and natural carbon gain, actual mitigation can be dramatically delayed, and total mitigation by 2030 or 2050 can be more than halved compared to the estimated potential. Delayed or lack of action on implementation would push back the timeline to reduce greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, largely undermining the Paris goals. Launching actions now and learning from past experience can help deliver climate mitigation and sustainable development goals.",

author = "Zhangcai Qin and Bronson Griscom and Yao Huang and Wenping Yuan and Xiuzhi Chen and Wenjie Dong and Tingting Li and Jonathan Sanderman and Pete Smith and Fan Wang and Song Yang",

note = "Acknowledgement: This work was supported by the National Basic Research Program of China (2016YFA0602701), the National Natural Science Foundation of China (41975113; 91937302), and the Guangdong Provincial Department of Science and Technology (2019ZT08G090). We appreciate the support from the China Association for Science and Technology Working Group for UN Environment Consultation. The authors declare no conflict of interests.",

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AU - Li, Tingting

AU - Sanderman, Jonathan

AU - Smith, Pete

AU - Wang, Fan

AU - Yang, Song

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N2 - To limit global temperature rise, scientists have proposed significant potentials for climate change mitigation from protecting and managing natural systems (Griscom et al., 2017; Paustian et al., 2016; Roe et al., 2019; Smith et al., 2019). However, we show that the speed at which nature's power is unleashed is as important as the mitigation potential. Depending on the time taken for technology deployment and natural carbon gain, actual mitigation can be dramatically delayed, and total mitigation by 2030 or 2050 can be more than halved compared to the estimated potential. Delayed or lack of action on implementation would push back the timeline to reduce greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, largely undermining the Paris goals. Launching actions now and learning from past experience can help deliver climate mitigation and sustainable development goals.

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Delayed impact of natural climate solutions

Abstract

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