Abstract
This paper empirically evaluates the impact and effect of oil price fluctuations and shocks on French aggregate economic performance, industrial production index and inflation rate. Our methodology makes use of a multivariate VAR approach to analyse the stability and magnitude of this system by adopting different oil price specifications, together with a robustness check through the estimation of a St.Louis-type equation. We adopt several oil price specifications. Our results show that the main French macroeconomic aggregate variables have become progressively less reactive to oil price fluctuations and that the adjustment towards equilibrium levels have been done increasingly faster.
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Pages (from-to) | 65-87 |
| Number of pages | 23 |
| Journal | Annals of Economics and Finance |
| Volume | 10 |
| Issue number | 1 |
| Publication status | Published - 2009 |
Keywords
- oil price fluctuations
- multivariate VAR
- causality
- impulse response
- St. Louis equation