Macroeconomic stability, equities and real estate

a dynamic model for the UK

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Abstract

The role of equities, house prices, and goverment bonds are investigated in a three-equation dynamic macroeconomic model of the United Kingdom economy. A theoretical structure is given and the derived econometric model is estimated using quarterly data 1964(4)-2005(1). The equity crash of 1999-2000 is used as a way of analysing the dynamic interactions of the system. These show strong evidence of substitution between housing and equities as a means of holding wealth, while the volatility in equities and house prices tends to mitigate the expected volatility in income. The supply of goverment bonds and monetary policy are seen to be stabilising in the post shock environment.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)127-159
Number of pages33
JournalEkonomia
Volume12
Issue number2
Publication statusPublished - 2009

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Macroeconomic stability
Real estate
Equity
House prices
Macroeconomic models
Income
Equity prices
Interaction
Crash
Wealth
Econometric models
Substitution
Monetary policy

Cite this

Macroeconomic stability, equities and real estate : a dynamic model for the UK. / McCausland, W David; McAvinchey, Ian D.

In: Ekonomia, Vol. 12, No. 2, 2009, p. 127-159.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

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