Model-based evaluation of rural development policies

Thomas G Johnson, Deborah Roberts, Timothy R Wojan

    Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

    4 Citations (Scopus)

    Abstract

    A primary concern in rural development policy is the impact of government expenditures on economic growth, income and employment. The Socio-Economic Benefit Assessment System (SEBAS) model developed through academic/government collaboration in the United States is an example of a practical tool for assessing the impact of federal programmes on these key development indicators. The model is based on an interregional social accounting matrix (SAM) and estimates the location and impact (including displacement effects) of economic initiatives. It has been used to examine the impact of loans and grants programmes and rural energy projects on regional value-added (GDP) and the quantity and quality of employment. Although the challenges of using model-based assessment are greater in the European Union due to data deficiencies and a complex rural development policy framework, considerable potential exists for deepening understanding of the effectiveness of policy measures, particularly in terms of region-specific impacts. Results obtained through modelling approaches such as computable general equilibrium (CGE) models, suggest that the impacts of programmes can be smaller than traditionally assumed and that there can also be important re-distributional effects. There are strong arguments for making modelling a key element in a broad evaluation of rural development policy.
    Original languageEnglish
    Pages (from-to)30-36
    Number of pages7
    JournalEuroChoices
    Volume9
    Issue number1
    DOIs
    Publication statusPublished - Apr 2010

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    rural development
    development policy
    evaluation
    rural energy
    development indicator
    computable general equilibrium analysis
    public spending
    Gross Domestic Product
    modeling
    economic growth
    European Union
    equilibrium model
    income
    system model
    value added
    loan
    matrix
    grant
    economics
    policy

    Cite this

    Model-based evaluation of rural development policies. / Johnson, Thomas G; Roberts, Deborah; Wojan, Timothy R.

    In: EuroChoices, Vol. 9, No. 1, 04.2010, p. 30-36.

    Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

    Johnson, Thomas G ; Roberts, Deborah ; Wojan, Timothy R. / Model-based evaluation of rural development policies. In: EuroChoices. 2010 ; Vol. 9, No. 1. pp. 30-36.
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