Soil Organic Carbon and Nitrogen Feedbacks on Crop Yields under Climate Change

B Basso, B Dumont, B Maestrini, I. Shcherbak, G.P. Robertson, J.R. Porter, P. Smith, K. Paustian, P.R. Grace, S. Asseng, S. Bassu, C. Biernath, K.J. Boote, D. Cammarano, G. de Sanctis, J.-L. Durand, F. Ewert, S. Gayler, R Grant, D.W. Hyndman & 11 others J Kent, P Martre, C. Nendel, E. Priesack, D. Ripoche, A.C. Ruane, J. Sharp, P.J. Thorburn, J.L. Hatfield, J.W. Jones, C. Rosenzweig

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

7 Downloads (Pure)

Abstract

A critical omission from climate change impact studies on crop yield is the interaction between soil organic carbon (SOC), nitrogen (N) availability, and carbon dioxide (CO2). We used a multimodel ensemble to predict the effects of SOC and N under different scenarios of temperatures and CO2 concentrations on maize (Zea mays L.) and wheat (Triticum aestivum L.) yield in eight sites across the world. We found that including feedbacks from SOC and N losses due to increased temperatures would reduce yields by 13% in wheat and 19% in maize for a 3°C rise temperature with no adaptation practices. These losses correspond to an additional 4.5% (+3°C) when compared to crop yield reductions attributed to temperature increase alone. Future CO2 increase to 540 ppm would partially compensate losses by 80% for both maize and wheat at +3°C, and by 35% for wheat and 20% for maize at +6°C, relative to the baseline CO2 scenario.
Original languageEnglish
Article number180026
JournalAgricultural & Environmental Letters
Volume3
Issue number1
Early online date24 Jul 2018
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 16 Aug 2018

Fingerprint

soil organic carbon
crop yield
carbon dioxide
climate change
wheat
corn
temperature
Triticum aestivum
Zea mays
soil organic nitrogen
nitrogen

Cite this

Basso, B., Dumont, B., Maestrini, B., Shcherbak, I., Robertson, G. P., Porter, J. R., ... Rosenzweig, C. (2018). Soil Organic Carbon and Nitrogen Feedbacks on Crop Yields under Climate Change. Agricultural & Environmental Letters, 3(1), [180026]. https://doi.org/10.2134/ael2018.05.0026

Soil Organic Carbon and Nitrogen Feedbacks on Crop Yields under Climate Change. / Basso, B; Dumont, B; Maestrini, B; Shcherbak, I. ; Robertson, G.P. ; Porter, J.R.; Smith, P.; Paustian, K.; Grace, P.R.; Asseng, S.; Bassu, S.; Biernath, C.; Boote, K.J. ; Cammarano, D.; de Sanctis, G.; Durand, J.-L.; Ewert, F.; Gayler, S.; Grant, R; Hyndman, D.W. ; Kent, J; Martre, P; Nendel, C.; Priesack, E.; Ripoche, D.; Ruane, A.C. ; Sharp, J.; Thorburn, P.J.; Hatfield, J.L.; Jones, J.W.; Rosenzweig, C.

In: Agricultural & Environmental Letters, Vol. 3, No. 1, 180026, 16.08.2018.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Basso, B, Dumont, B, Maestrini, B, Shcherbak, I, Robertson, GP, Porter, JR, Smith, P, Paustian, K, Grace, PR, Asseng, S, Bassu, S, Biernath, C, Boote, KJ, Cammarano, D, de Sanctis, G, Durand, J-L, Ewert, F, Gayler, S, Grant, R, Hyndman, DW, Kent, J, Martre, P, Nendel, C, Priesack, E, Ripoche, D, Ruane, AC, Sharp, J, Thorburn, PJ, Hatfield, JL, Jones, JW & Rosenzweig, C 2018, 'Soil Organic Carbon and Nitrogen Feedbacks on Crop Yields under Climate Change', Agricultural & Environmental Letters, vol. 3, no. 1, 180026. https://doi.org/10.2134/ael2018.05.0026
Basso B, Dumont B, Maestrini B, Shcherbak I, Robertson GP, Porter JR et al. Soil Organic Carbon and Nitrogen Feedbacks on Crop Yields under Climate Change. Agricultural & Environmental Letters. 2018 Aug 16;3(1). 180026. https://doi.org/10.2134/ael2018.05.0026
Basso, B ; Dumont, B ; Maestrini, B ; Shcherbak, I. ; Robertson, G.P. ; Porter, J.R. ; Smith, P. ; Paustian, K. ; Grace, P.R. ; Asseng, S. ; Bassu, S. ; Biernath, C. ; Boote, K.J. ; Cammarano, D. ; de Sanctis, G. ; Durand, J.-L. ; Ewert, F. ; Gayler, S. ; Grant, R ; Hyndman, D.W. ; Kent, J ; Martre, P ; Nendel, C. ; Priesack, E. ; Ripoche, D. ; Ruane, A.C. ; Sharp, J. ; Thorburn, P.J. ; Hatfield, J.L. ; Jones, J.W. ; Rosenzweig, C. / Soil Organic Carbon and Nitrogen Feedbacks on Crop Yields under Climate Change. In: Agricultural & Environmental Letters. 2018 ; Vol. 3, No. 1.
@article{94ba28ac90864cc09af54d9e3daf7a49,
title = "Soil Organic Carbon and Nitrogen Feedbacks on Crop Yields under Climate Change",
abstract = "A critical omission from climate change impact studies on crop yield is the interaction between soil organic carbon (SOC), nitrogen (N) availability, and carbon dioxide (CO2). We used a multimodel ensemble to predict the effects of SOC and N under different scenarios of temperatures and CO2 concentrations on maize (Zea mays L.) and wheat (Triticum aestivum L.) yield in eight sites across the world. We found that including feedbacks from SOC and N losses due to increased temperatures would reduce yields by 13{\%} in wheat and 19{\%} in maize for a 3°C rise temperature with no adaptation practices. These losses correspond to an additional 4.5{\%} (+3°C) when compared to crop yield reductions attributed to temperature increase alone. Future CO2 increase to 540 ppm would partially compensate losses by 80{\%} for both maize and wheat at +3°C, and by 35{\%} for wheat and 20{\%} for maize at +6°C, relative to the baseline CO2 scenario.",
author = "B Basso and B Dumont and B Maestrini and I. Shcherbak and G.P. Robertson and J.R. Porter and P. Smith and K. Paustian and P.R. Grace and S. Asseng and S. Bassu and C. Biernath and K.J. Boote and D. Cammarano and {de Sanctis}, G. and J.-L. Durand and F. Ewert and S. Gayler and R Grant and D.W. Hyndman and J Kent and P Martre and C. Nendel and E. Priesack and D. Ripoche and A.C. Ruane and J. Sharp and P.J. Thorburn and J.L. Hatfield and J.W. Jones and C. Rosenzweig",
note = "Articles in A&EL are published under the CC-BY NC ND (non-commercial; no derivatives) license (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/2.0/). Users are free to copy and redistribute the material in any medium or format. Any further publication of the article will require proper attribution; no derivative works may be made from this article; and the article may not be used for any commercial gain (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/2.0/). The author is given explicit permission to publish the final article in her/his institutional repository. There is an option for the CC-BY license if required by an author's institution.",
year = "2018",
month = "8",
day = "16",
doi = "10.2134/ael2018.05.0026",
language = "English",
volume = "3",
journal = "Agricultural & Environmental Letters",
issn = "2471-9625",
publisher = "American Society of Agronomy, Crop Science Society of America, Soil Science Society of America",
number = "1",

}

TY - JOUR

T1 - Soil Organic Carbon and Nitrogen Feedbacks on Crop Yields under Climate Change

AU - Basso, B

AU - Dumont, B

AU - Maestrini, B

AU - Shcherbak, I.

AU - Robertson, G.P.

AU - Porter, J.R.

AU - Smith, P.

AU - Paustian, K.

AU - Grace, P.R.

AU - Asseng, S.

AU - Bassu, S.

AU - Biernath, C.

AU - Boote, K.J.

AU - Cammarano, D.

AU - de Sanctis, G.

AU - Durand, J.-L.

AU - Ewert, F.

AU - Gayler, S.

AU - Grant, R

AU - Hyndman, D.W.

AU - Kent, J

AU - Martre, P

AU - Nendel, C.

AU - Priesack, E.

AU - Ripoche, D.

AU - Ruane, A.C.

AU - Sharp, J.

AU - Thorburn, P.J.

AU - Hatfield, J.L.

AU - Jones, J.W.

AU - Rosenzweig, C.

N1 - Articles in A&EL are published under the CC-BY NC ND (non-commercial; no derivatives) license (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/2.0/). Users are free to copy and redistribute the material in any medium or format. Any further publication of the article will require proper attribution; no derivative works may be made from this article; and the article may not be used for any commercial gain (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/2.0/). The author is given explicit permission to publish the final article in her/his institutional repository. There is an option for the CC-BY license if required by an author's institution.

PY - 2018/8/16

Y1 - 2018/8/16

N2 - A critical omission from climate change impact studies on crop yield is the interaction between soil organic carbon (SOC), nitrogen (N) availability, and carbon dioxide (CO2). We used a multimodel ensemble to predict the effects of SOC and N under different scenarios of temperatures and CO2 concentrations on maize (Zea mays L.) and wheat (Triticum aestivum L.) yield in eight sites across the world. We found that including feedbacks from SOC and N losses due to increased temperatures would reduce yields by 13% in wheat and 19% in maize for a 3°C rise temperature with no adaptation practices. These losses correspond to an additional 4.5% (+3°C) when compared to crop yield reductions attributed to temperature increase alone. Future CO2 increase to 540 ppm would partially compensate losses by 80% for both maize and wheat at +3°C, and by 35% for wheat and 20% for maize at +6°C, relative to the baseline CO2 scenario.

AB - A critical omission from climate change impact studies on crop yield is the interaction between soil organic carbon (SOC), nitrogen (N) availability, and carbon dioxide (CO2). We used a multimodel ensemble to predict the effects of SOC and N under different scenarios of temperatures and CO2 concentrations on maize (Zea mays L.) and wheat (Triticum aestivum L.) yield in eight sites across the world. We found that including feedbacks from SOC and N losses due to increased temperatures would reduce yields by 13% in wheat and 19% in maize for a 3°C rise temperature with no adaptation practices. These losses correspond to an additional 4.5% (+3°C) when compared to crop yield reductions attributed to temperature increase alone. Future CO2 increase to 540 ppm would partially compensate losses by 80% for both maize and wheat at +3°C, and by 35% for wheat and 20% for maize at +6°C, relative to the baseline CO2 scenario.

U2 - 10.2134/ael2018.05.0026

DO - 10.2134/ael2018.05.0026

M3 - Article

VL - 3

JO - Agricultural & Environmental Letters

JF - Agricultural & Environmental Letters

SN - 2471-9625

IS - 1

M1 - 180026

ER -