Abstract
Climate change is expected to have an impact on plant communities as increased temperatures are expected to drive individual species' distributions polewards. The results of a revisitation study after c. 34years of 89 coastal sites in Scotland, UK, were examined to assess the degree of shifts in species composition that could be accounted for by climate change. There was little evidence for either species retreat northwards or for plots to become more dominated by species with a more southern distribution. At a few sites where significant change occurred, the changes were accounted for by the invasion, or in one instance the removal, of woody species. Also, the vegetation types that showed the most sensitivity to change were all early successional types and changes were primarily the result of succession rather than climate-driven changes. Dune vegetation appears resistant to climate change impacts on the vegetation, either as the vegetation is inherently resistant to change, management prevents increased dominance of more southerly species or because of dispersal limitation to geographically isolated sites.
Original language | English |
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Pages (from-to) | 3738-3747 |
Number of pages | 10 |
Journal | Global Change Biology |
Volume | 21 |
Issue number | 10 |
Early online date | 3 Jul 2015 |
DOIs | |
Publication status | Published - Oct 2015 |
Bibliographical note
The resurvey would not have been possible without the many landowners/managers who gave their access permission and the many agency staff and others who facilitated this. It also could not have been done without the hard work of the original Institute of Terrestrial Ecology survey team. The work was funded by the Esmée Fairbairn Foundation and the Scottish Government's Rural and Environment Science and Analytical Services Division. The authors would like to thank Martin Diekmann and an anonymous reviewer for their comments which helped improve the manuscript.Keywords
- machair
- precipitation
- sand dune
- Scotland
- temperature
- vegetation change