The effects of macroeconomic conditions at graduation on overeducation

Fraser Summerfield (Corresponding Author), Ioannis Theodossiou

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

2 Citations (Scopus)
5 Downloads (Pure)

Abstract

This paper shows that unfavourable economic conditions at graduation decrease
the likelihood of a good job-worker match over a worker’s subsequent
career. Mismatch is quantified in terms of overeducation by both industry and
occupation. The German Socio-Economic Panel and region-level unemployment
rates from 1994-2012 are used. Instrumental Variables estimates account
for endogenous graduation timing. A single percentage point increase in regional unemployment causes an increase in the probability of overeducation
of 1.6-1.7 percentage points for university graduates. Effects for technical tertiary education and apprenticeship graduates are smaller. Labour market entry conditions affect workers for up to 9 years after graduation.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)1370-1387
Number of pages18
JournalEconomic Inquiry
Volume55
Issue number3
Early online date3 Mar 2017
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Jul 2017

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Macroeconomic conditions
Graduation
Workers
Overeducation
Industry
Apprenticeship
Regional unemployment
Socio-economics
Labour market
Market entry
Tertiary education
Instrumental variables
Economic conditions
Mismatch

Cite this

The effects of macroeconomic conditions at graduation on overeducation. / Summerfield, Fraser (Corresponding Author); Theodossiou, Ioannis.

In: Economic Inquiry, Vol. 55, No. 3, 07.2017, p. 1370-1387.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

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