TY - JOUR
T1 - Trading session effects on stock returns and their conditional volatility
T2 - Firm-level evidence from a European Union accession country
AU - Balaban, Ercan
AU - Ozgen, Tolga
N1 - Acknowledgments: We are grateful to the editor, H. Eugene Stanley, and the reviewers for their constructive and helpful comments and suggestions. All remaining errors and omissions are of our own responsibility
PY - 2016/3/15
Y1 - 2016/3/15
N2 - This paper primarily aims to test (i) the weak-form informational efficiency based on trading session effects on stock returns and their conditional volatility, (ii) the conditional total risk-return relationship and the systematic risk effects, and (iii) volatility persistence and asymmetry in volatility. We use firm level intraday data for two trading sessions with a two-hour lunch break from the Bourse Istanbul for the period 1995 to 2014. First, a strong result can be pronounced for a positive return effect for the second trading session compared to the first session. A similar positive effect is observed for the conditional volatility. Second, it can be concluded that only the systematic risk is priced for the great majority of the selected firms. Third, we cannot observe a significant asymmetry in the conditional volatility in most cases. Finally, it is founded that financial companies have a significantly higher systematic risk than industrial companies.
AB - This paper primarily aims to test (i) the weak-form informational efficiency based on trading session effects on stock returns and their conditional volatility, (ii) the conditional total risk-return relationship and the systematic risk effects, and (iii) volatility persistence and asymmetry in volatility. We use firm level intraday data for two trading sessions with a two-hour lunch break from the Bourse Istanbul for the period 1995 to 2014. First, a strong result can be pronounced for a positive return effect for the second trading session compared to the first session. A similar positive effect is observed for the conditional volatility. Second, it can be concluded that only the systematic risk is priced for the great majority of the selected firms. Third, we cannot observe a significant asymmetry in the conditional volatility in most cases. Finally, it is founded that financial companies have a significantly higher systematic risk than industrial companies.
KW - Asymmetric time varying volatility
KW - Market microstructure
KW - Risk-return relationship
KW - Trading session effects
KW - Turkey
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=84953335253&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1016/j.physa.2015.09.104
DO - 10.1016/j.physa.2015.09.104
M3 - Article
AN - SCOPUS:84953335253
VL - 446
SP - 264
EP - 271
JO - Physica. A, Statistical Mechanics and its Applications
JF - Physica. A, Statistical Mechanics and its Applications
SN - 0378-4371
ER -