TY - JOUR
T1 - Use of our Future Seas
T2 - Relevance of Spatial and Temporal Scale for Physical and Biological Indicators
AU - Trifonova, Neda
AU - Scott, Beth
AU - Dominicis, Michela De
AU - Wolf, Judith
N1 - Funding
This work was supported by the Supergen Offshore Renewable Energy (ORE) Hub, funded by the Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council (EPSRC EP/S000747/1).
Acknowledgments
The authors would like to thank the following people for providing original images, incorporated in this work: Rory O’Hara Murray (Marine Scotland Science, United Kingdom), Ella-Sophia Benninghaus and Morgane Declerck (University of Aberdeen, United Kingdom).
PY - 2022/1/25
Y1 - 2022/1/25
N2 - There is about to be an abrupt step-change in the use of our coastal seas, specifically by the addition of large-scale offshore renewable energy developments to combat climate change. Many trade-offs will need to be weighed up for the future sustainable management of marine ecosystems between renewables and other uses (e.g., fisheries, marine protected areas). Therefore, we need a much greater understanding of how different marine habitats and ecosystems are likely to change with both natural and anthropogenic transformations. This work will present a review of predictive Bayesian approaches from ecosystem level, through to fine scale mechanistic understanding of foraging success by individual species, to identify consistent physical (e.g., bottom temperature) and biological (e.g., chlorophyll-a) indicators of habitat and ecosystem change over the last 30 years within the North Sea. These combined approaches illuminate the feasibility of integrating knowledge across scales to be able to address the spatio-temporal variability of biophysical indicators to ultimately strengthen predictions of population changes at ecosystem scales across broadly different habitat types. Such knowledge will provide an effective baseline for more strategic and integrated approaches to both monitoring studies and assessing anthropogenic impacts to be used within marine spatial planning considerations.
AB - There is about to be an abrupt step-change in the use of our coastal seas, specifically by the addition of large-scale offshore renewable energy developments to combat climate change. Many trade-offs will need to be weighed up for the future sustainable management of marine ecosystems between renewables and other uses (e.g., fisheries, marine protected areas). Therefore, we need a much greater understanding of how different marine habitats and ecosystems are likely to change with both natural and anthropogenic transformations. This work will present a review of predictive Bayesian approaches from ecosystem level, through to fine scale mechanistic understanding of foraging success by individual species, to identify consistent physical (e.g., bottom temperature) and biological (e.g., chlorophyll-a) indicators of habitat and ecosystem change over the last 30 years within the North Sea. These combined approaches illuminate the feasibility of integrating knowledge across scales to be able to address the spatio-temporal variability of biophysical indicators to ultimately strengthen predictions of population changes at ecosystem scales across broadly different habitat types. Such knowledge will provide an effective baseline for more strategic and integrated approaches to both monitoring studies and assessing anthropogenic impacts to be used within marine spatial planning considerations.
KW - marine ecosystem
KW - marine spatial planning
KW - climate change
KW - fisheries
KW - marine protected areas
KW - seabirds and marine mammals
KW - potential energy anomaly
KW - net primary production
U2 - 10.3389/fmars.2021.769680
DO - 10.3389/fmars.2021.769680
M3 - Article
VL - 8
JO - Frontiers in Marine Science: Deep-Sea Environments and Ecology
JF - Frontiers in Marine Science: Deep-Sea Environments and Ecology
SN - 2296-7745
M1 - 769680
ER -