Commercial real estate prices and Covid-19

Martin Hoesli* (Corresponding Author), Richard Malle

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

28 Citations (Scopus)
65 Downloads (Pure)

Abstract

Purpose – The article analyzes the effects of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic on commercial real estate prices, with a particular focus on European markets.
Design/methodology/approach – The authors start by highlighting caveats to bear in mind when referring to direct real estate indices. The authors then analyze the behavior of commercial real estate prices during the pandemic, emphasizing differences across property types. For that purpose, the authors use data for both direct and listed real estate and further discuss changes in the main factors affecting commercial real estate pricing. The article then turns to discussing the likely trajectory of commercial real estate prices in the future.
Findings – The authors report that retail and hospitality properties and to a lesser extent office buildings have been affected the most by COVID-19, while the residential and industrial sectors have been less affected by the crisis. The authors maintain that the future trajectory of prices will vary across sectors and that the type and location of assets will become increasingly important in their valuation.
Originality/value – This paper provides for a better understanding of the behavior of commercial real estate prices during the COVID-19 pandemic.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)295-306
Number of pages12
JournalJournal of European Real Estate Research
Early online date11 Oct 2021
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 28 Jun 2022

Keywords

  • Commercial real state prices
  • COVID-19
  • Pandemic
  • Office
  • Retail
  • hospitality

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